Well, according to the MSM, with Sen. Lugar (R-IN) talking trash about the Iraq War on Monday, he has. After Lugar’s announcement, Sen. Voinovich of Ohio followed suit, just as the pundits predicted. But according to my colleagues Rand Beers of the National Security Network and John Issacs of the Council for a Livable World, this is all hype. Lugar is not the big wig everyone says he is, and Beers thinks Sen. Warner is really the one we need to make the Republican house of cards fall in Iraq.
I agree with Issacs that Lugar does not have the cache with conservative Republicans that people think. Yet he has cultivated this reputation as being a stand up foreign policy guy who is not prone to excessive, knee-jerk reactions. So when he makes a decision, it is not just because the party line tells him so. Of course, that is exactly why he does not have the effect the MSM claims he has. If he normally followed the party line but then jumped ship on this issue, that would be huge.
Warner, on the other hand, is such a party line guy albeit with a flair for independence. Him parting ways with the Administration would be more significant than Lugar, and would provide even more cover for other wavering Republicans. However, Warner has already expressed his skepticism on Iraq, although not as strongly as Lugar, and even Lugar said he would not vote for withdrawal. I think Beers overstates the case a bit, because I do not see anything persuading Cheney and Bush that they need to change ways in Iraq. More to the point, I do not see anything persuading a powerful, hardline conservative like Sen. McConnell to part ways with the White House on Iraq, other than perhaps his dwindling chances at re-election.
However, in the strange world of media, the MSM gets the last laugh. Ultimately, if they say Lugar is the lynchpin of Republican support on Iraq, than he is. The media repeating ad nasuem that Lugar is key makes him key, whether or not he really is. So if I am some wavering Republican needing political cover to ditch Cheney and Bush (I now list them in this order since we now have proof that Cheney is the real President, see my last post), and the media tells me Lugar is just the cover I need, then I will jump ship.
Media, for better or worse, largely creates reality. Paris Hilton matters to people because the media tells us she does, and Lugar matters because the media tells us he does. It is that simple, even if in a reality without the media hype neither Paris nor Lugar would matter nearly that much.
Behold the power of media.
So if progressive know what is good for them, they will ride this media frenzy over Lugar and now Voinovich all the way to the bank. “Hey,” they should say, “even the esteemed conservative Dick Lugar thinks we need to draw down our forces and shift strategy in Iraq.” Whenever given the chance, hype the importance of Lugar in foreign policy. It will make withdrawal or any other attempt to change the President’s Iraq policy seem mainstream, and in so doing, help Democrats pick off more Republicans when it comes time to voting on Iraq legislation.
Uncategorized, Iraq, media, Analysis, Richard Lugar | No Comments »